Author: Casual Financial

The Casual Link to Opportunity

Stock markets falling sharply today – some explanation

Stock markets falling sharply today – some explanation US stock markets fell 4% overnight with severe falls in tech stock. When the US sneezes the world catches a cold. Australia’s ASX down sharply also. What is going on? See this key link for some analysis: https://youtu.be/Oc_-a83v_HU  a video by Chris Weston head of research at Pepperstone.…
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11 October 2018 0

Australia’s immigration ponzi scheme, and the looming crash

Australia’s has had 26 years of nominal GDP growth. However GDP per person has not always grown, and in some periods retracted. Australia has been riding the long sugar hit of an immigration ponzi scheme. It is unsustainable, and there will be economic consequences when it crashes, and also social consequences as the economics fail.…
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8 October 2018 0

FX and political surprises: Brexit and the Australian Spill

The innocent victim in a political showdown: Currency The foreign exchange or also known as the FX market, is the largest and most actively traded financial instrument in the market. It involves an average daily turnover of over $3 trillion dollars. Unfortunately, currency suffers one of the biggest backslashes in a political conflict. The naughty…
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3 September 2018 0

Essay: Fundamental Analysis and the GFC – Qantas, Westpac and BHP.

NOTE: This is original work by Adam Atkins as part of higher education studies. No part may be reproduced without acknowledgement and permission. ——————–  Fundamental Analysis (FA) and Critically Analysing the Global Financial Crisis Essay for EFN424 Equity Trading Floor semester 2-2018 Original work by Adam Atkins, Student of Masters of Business (Applied Finance), Queensland University of…
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24 August 2018 0

Australia: Prime Minister spills as Jobs and Growth not felt – Immigration and Trade Idea

Australia: Prime Minister spills as Jobs and Growth not felt broadly The Australian Economy is doing fairly well on headline nominal figures, so why is the Australian Prime minister getting spilled (again)? Typically causing or presiding over a bad economy will poll badly, so why does the government poll badly during a good economy? Key…
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23 August 2018 0

Houses, wealth effect and Aussie home retailers

Houses, wealth effect and Aussie home retailers Key link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-09/-widow-maker-trade-gives-way-to-shorting-australia-retailers?utm_medium=social&cmpid=socialflow-facebook-asia&utm_source=facebook&utm_content=asia&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic In this blog we have previously discussed: the upcoming problems in Australia with inflated house prices; the economic factors that increase probabilities of a house correction or even crash; and the impacts on technology on Aussie retailers. Lets now discuss the “Wealth Effect” and what this…
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12 August 2018 0

When all that glitters is not gold – when gold loses its “safe haven” appeal

When all that glitters is not gold – when gold loses its “safe haven” appeal In the past three trading days we have observed what traders call “risk-off” sentiment manifesting in the international markets. This is typically characterised by: Falling equities (share markets indices fall) Increased in FX prices on “safe” currencies like Swiss CHF…
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27 June 2018 0

Australian Housing Market, GDP, Monetary and Fiscal policy

This paper is a two page take home exam for the Masters of Business (Applied Finance) course in EFN405 Applied Economics. It was submitted for marking on 3 June 2018. It is original work by Adam Atkins and may not be reproduced without consent. All rights reserved by Adam Atkins Copyright (c) 2018. QUESTION: Using…
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3 June 2018 1

Essay: What is “crypto” and where is it going 30.3.2018

This essay was for the Masters of Business (Applied Finance) course in EFN425 Financial Markets and Institutions. It was submitted for marking on 30 March 2018. It is original work by Adam Atkins and may not be reproduced without consent. All rights reserved by Adam Atkins Copyright (c) 2018. Student of M.Bus (Applied Finance) QUT…
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30 May 2018 3

Efficient market hypothesis and trading 30.5.2018

Efficient market hypothesis and trading 30.5.2018 Key Link: https://www.investopedia.com/exam-guide/cfa-level-1/securities-markets/weak-semistrong-strong-emh-efficient-market-hypothesis.asp Is “The Market” efficient? We hypothesise that is generally is. However market inefficiencies do occur in the market, and these may present opportunities for a Casual trade when there is cause to do so. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is where if the market is efficient in…
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30 May 2018 0