Author: Casual Financial

The Casual Link to Opportunity

Equities hot hand – do winners keep winning?

EFN427 – Behavioural finance group assignment Hot Hand: Is Performance Predictable? Submission date: 22 September, 2019 Group 10: XX XX, XX XX, XX XX and Adam Atkins Introduction  Background In their seminal 1974 paper, Tversy and Kahneman discussed the phenomena of heuristics — or mental shortcuts — that are used to make decisions under uncertainty.…
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9 January 2020 0

Population growth and economic growth correlation

Adam Atkins Final report, Assessment 3 EFN427 Behavioural Finance Due 26/10/19 Topic: The Baby boom, shares, property and sustainability. Introduction This short essay will discuss the post World War Two (WW2) baby boom, its connection to asset prices including shares and property, and also its sustainability with changing demographics. The thesis argued here is that…
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9 January 2020 0

Generalisations – not all bad?

EFN505 Financial Risk Management Essay and self-reflection due 6.1.2019 By Adam Atkins, student, QUT Master of Business (Applied Finance) 2019 Essay inputs: “To Generalize is to be an Idiot to Particularize is the Alone Distinction of Merit – General Knowledges are those Knowledges that Idiots possess.” William Blake, On Reynolds (1798). ” Generalizations and perceptions as life hacks…
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9 January 2020 0

Epsilon – the error in risk management

EFN 505 Financial Risk Management  Essay and self-reflection due 12.4.2019 By Adam Atkins, student, QUT Masters of Business (Applied Finance) 2019 Essay: “Epsilon exposed: Getting down and dirty on risk!” The Soldier, The Gambler and the FX Trader. Risk is an abstract concept that we seek to find ways to describe, analyse and attempt to measure…
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9 January 2020 0

Assignment: Nudge theory and recycling – Behavioural Economics experiment plan

Semester 2-2019 – QUT EFN428 Behavioural Economics Task: The Research Essay This assessment comprises of two parts: 1) a short proposal document detailing the selected topic and outline, upon which students will receive feedback. 2) a 2000 word research essay. You are to select your own research topic.  “Recycling nudging – when do intentions and outcomes diverge” Alternate…
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9 January 2020 0

Liquidity, equities, credit and – risk of a market correction

See below for the key links as reference points. What does macro liquidity, equities valuations and access to credit have to do with the risk of a stock market correction (or crash), and risk of recession? Macro liquidity is about central banks and monetary policy. Since the GFC of 2008-09, central banks led by the…
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16 April 2019 0

Fintech: a new era

Fintech: a new era The future is already happening, it just isn’t equally distributed yet. Fintech is not just a combination of Finance and Technology. It describes an entire whole new industry that includes companies using technology to enhance the financial, banking and customers service more efficiently. Fintech is not only changing the way people…
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30 November 2018 0

Cyber security a growing industry

Cyber security a growing industry Did you know: 2/3 cyber security breaches cost organisations more than $1 million (Cisco, 2018) with cybercrime having an estimated impact of 0.5% of total global GDP (KMPG, 2018). The cyber security global industry is forecasted to grow at an 18% CAGR until 2021. and Spending on cyber security of…
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22 November 2018 0

Australian Banks and short term bearish equities outlook

The banks are still reporting high profits, but you need to look beyond the headline figures and consider the cash profits. These are down and its no surprise. Australian Banks are in for some choppy times: Falling sustainable bank cash profits. Bank asset sales -sell off in insurance, wealth advice and superannuation. Hayne Royal Commission…
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22 November 2018 0

Opportunity in Volatility – Long S+P500, Short Vix, avoid China equities.

Opportunity in Volatility We have been watching the October 2018 roller coaster ride of equities falling and volatility rising. Yes there have been some big falls across major indices. Notably in China, USA and Australia. There are some fundamental reasons to explain these movements, and also technical reasons why it should rebound in the short…
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2 November 2018 0